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Political Diary
Future Challenges: Food, Poverty: WORLD ON COLLISSION COURSE,by Dhurjati Mukherjee, 2 June 2008 Print E-mail

Environment Special

New Delhi, 2 June 2008

Future Challenges: Food, Poverty

WORLD ON COLLISSION COURSE

By Dhurjati Mukherjee

On 5 June humankind celebrated World Environment Day. But underlining the merrymaking were issues of grave environmental concern. Which are going to challenge our future, specially food shortage, poverty and environment degradation.

The Green Revolution in agriculture finds itself trumped by the Green Evolution because of changing climatic developments. Years of world-wide concerns about global warming needing urgent corrective action expressed by scientists and environmentalists to prevent a catastrophe has led to new enthusiasm for bio-fuels, an ideal solution to bring down pollution levels and curb CO2 emissions.

Many developed countries, especially US, have turned swathes of agricultural land to grow crops that could be processed with ethanol, a less polluting fuel than petrol or diesel while in the developing countries land is being diverted for industrial and urbanization usages. However, this has resulted in land previously used to grow grains for human consumption now being devoted to crops for vehicles. The effect over the last 2-3 years has led to a crisis situation in food, which might get accentuated in future, leading to escalating food prices because of shortages.

Though the Food & Agriculture Organization (FAO) has predicted an increase in global rice production of 12 million tonnes (2 % this year), demand would outstrip supply as Australia, a major wheat producer-exporter is facing drought. Observed outgoing Italian Prime Minister, Romano Prodi, “something must be done to ensure that both the US and Europe stop producing fuel in competition with food. People can no longer be allowed to starve to death in Africa simply because some people in the US or EU consider that the votes of farmers or landowners are worth more than the survival of millions of men and women.”

Prodi was echoing what the Union of Scientists expressed in 1993: “Human beings and the natural world are on a collision course. Human activities inflict harsh and often irreversible damage on the environment and on critical resources. If not checked, many of our current practices put at serious risk the future that we wish for human society and the plant and the animal kingdom, and may so alter the living world that it will be unable to sustain life in the manner that we know”.

Man’s fight against hunger has taken a new turn and Nobel Prize winner Norman Borlaug’s prediction in 1970, that “the green revolution can provide food for sustenance during the next three decades”, rings true today. The green revolution has run its course and is facing environmental consequences of intense industrial, soil salinity due to high degree of chemicals and pesticides and water shortages.

Besides, nearly 30 per cent of the world’s population suffers malnutrition, some 850 million are undernourished, 2.8 million children and 300,000 women die annually in developing countries on this account. The UN mid-year update of the World Economic Situation & Prospects estimates that almost 3 billion or about half of the world’s population is food insecure. Meanwhile, the wheat price has risen nearly 130% over last year and the rice price in Asia has almost doubled in the first quarter of 2008. According to the Asian Development Bank Director General, a billion Asians have been hit by these surging prices, including 600 million who live under a-dollar-a-day resulting in more malnutrition, suicides and starvation deaths.

Unless the food crisis is tackled effectively, we would face riots, terrorism, political instability and more failed States. Already, food riots have broken out in over 12 countries in Africa and Asia. Namely, Egypt, Haiti, Cameroon, Bangladesh and Indonesia due to food shortage, record oil costs, severe droughts, diversion of corn for ethanol use and rapidly growing demand. The World Bank President has warned that around 30 nations are at risk of social unrest.

Worse, by 2012, the population will be 7 billion. India will add 500 million totalling 1.6 billion and Africa’s 960 million will grow by one billion. According to the Earth Policy Institute just to feed the additional people would require 640sq miles of good farmland, roughly Los Angeles’s size or 18 million football fields every year. More. With forests chopped for timber and farmland in the Amazon, Indonesia, Congo etc, the land available for agriculture has shrunk due to desertification and soil pollution. Also, with the Third World, including India, converting farmland to develop townships or industrial projects, where returns are higher, has led to displacement and migration of the rural population to cities resulting in the farm yield declining to 1.2% during the last decade..      

However, experts believe that the situation is retrievable and the current food crisis would lead to an ever-green revolution, designed to improve productivity with associated ecological harm. The climate change problem may turn into a blessing in certain parts of the world through reorientation of agricultural research and development strategies based on the principles of ecology, economics, food and energy security and sustainable growth. Such a revolution would be through organic farming and/or green agriculture and is based on integrated pest and nutrient management, crop livestock integration, use of productive genetic stains, adoption of dryland farming and low water-use techniques.

Another view is that increasing productivity this way might be insufficient to meet the increasing demand of an exploding population in the coming years. True, in India the average crop yield has roughly doubled in 2006 to 3.12 tonnes per hectare from what the farmers were getting in the 1960s. But this pales in comparison with China where the yield was 6.26 tonnes per hectare in 2006 and the Asian average of 4.17 tonnes per hectare, almost 25 per cent better than that ours.

Sadly, in India there is little synergy between researchers and farmers notwithstanding talks of lab-to-land approach. There is a huge gap between what is produced in research stations and demonstration fields and the average actual production. This gap is nearly 200% in many cases. Further, the benefits of research have not percolated uniformly to guide the farmers. While the north and west regions are quite productive the east and north-east are not. The potential for increasing yields exists provided recommended practices and good extension systems are followed.

According to Dr M. S. Swaminathan, the conversion of farmland to SEZs should be stopped and these be set up on barren lands if the country has to ensure food security and prevent increasing poverty. Clearly, high GDP sans a decrease in poverty and upgradation of the lives of the rural poor does not mean real development. Further, to maintain social peace we need work on the rural sector and ensure that the basic necessities of the people are met. It is necessary to maintain demographic equilibrium as economic growth alone cannot tackle the problem. The demand on resources and the consequent effects on nature would become a critical problem if population growth is not restrained.

An expert aptly pointed: “The size of the human population is inextricably woven with global warming; yet seldom will ‘population’ be found on the agendas of global economic and sustainability forums”. Observed James Lovelock: “We have grown in number to the point where our presence is perceptibly disabling the planet like a disease.” --- INFA

(Copyright India News & Feature Alliance)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

River Management: CENTRAL CONTROL DESIRABLE, by Dhurjati Mukherjee,26 May 2008 Print E-mail

Water Crisis

New Delhi, 26 May 2008

River Management

CENTRAL CONTROL DESIRABLE

By Dhurjati Mukherjee

Ten of the largest rivers in the world are dying. Amongst these are the Ganga, Indus, Nile, Yangtze, Mekong and Danube that are the lifeline of millions of people. These rivers are not merely water sources but repositories of history, myths and cultural memories. And, the greatest threat to these and many other rivers is industrial pollution apart from natural sewage channels.

In India, as also in many other countries pollution of rivers has been a big problem. The developing world, particularly India and China, needs to learn from Europe’s experience of reviving and maintaining rivers. In our country, the Supreme Court has come out with a number of judgements along these lines, but effective action has yet to be taken. The projects that have been taken up are far from satisfactory. The 2006 official audit of the Ganga Action Plan has revealed that it has met only 39 per cent of its sewage treatment target. Moreover, the Plan is behind schedule by over 13 years. According to the legal counsel, Central Pollution Control Board, Vijay Panjawani, even after spending Rs. 24,000 crores, the Ganga remains as dirty as ever. The same holds true of the Yamuna Action Plan where progress is unsatisfactory. 

Apart from the problem of sewage flowing into the Yamuna, the problem is largely attributed to the large-scale extraction of water in upstream Delhi for drinking and irrigation purposes, leading to negligible flow in the river after Wazirabad, as per reports of the Environment Ministry. This problem has also been witnessed in Kolkata (of the Hooghly river, an offshoot of Ganga) after the water-sharing agreement was signed between India and Bangladesh.

Meanwhile, following the directions of the apex court on August 4, 2004, a high-power committee was constituted for preparation of an integrated action plan to stop pollution of the river. Another committee was formed with representatives from the five riparian states of Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan to consider the issue of maintaining a universal flow of water in the Yamuna and to suggest both short and long-term measures for the same. 

Keeping in view the persistent problem of pollution of these rivers, some are likely to be declared as ‘national rivers’. This would facilitate the Centre’s direct intervention in projects to clean up such rivers and ensure proper upkeep. Moreover, since the big rivers pass through several States and there is a multiplicity of authorities, monitoring at the central level would be better, even though it’s a State subject, Ambitious projects viz Ganga and Yamuna so far are unable to achieve the desired results within a specified time frame.

The ‘national rivers’ concept has long been mooted and deliberated upon by the Central Water Commission (CWC) and the criteria for rivers that would fall under this head is being finalized. This exercise became necessary after States like West Bengal asked the Centre to take up river cleaning projects. It is understood that half a dozen highly polluted rivers, including Ganga, Yamuna, Krishna, Cauvery, and Teesta are likely to figure in this list.

Moreover, water sharing has led to disputes between States and consequent appointment of tribunals under the inter-State water disputes act to mediate between warring parties. Tribunals set up so far are looking into disputes over the Narmada, Ravi, Beas, Krishna, Godavari and Cauvery. Regrettably, this has given rise to a complex and highly litigious process as the States have moved the Supreme Court challenging the awards given by the tribunals in spite of these being binding on the States.

There is a high-level of vitriol in the endemic clashes between States on inter-State water issues which have grave political consequences. The intensity of these disputes and the complexity arising thereof has possibly influenced the parliamentary committee on water resources to recommend that water be put on the concurrent list from the present List II of the seventh schedule, a State subject. The move has enough justification, as it would entail Centre’s control over the rivers-- maintaining these properly from the environmental point of view and ensuring regulated flow.

In the coming years, with rapid industrialization and urbanization the demand for water would increase considerably, making it necessary that control in matters pertaining to water sharing, pollution and management be exerted by Central authorities, in consultation with respective State governments, if necessary. It is in this context that the question of river interlinking has also to be considered in a judicious manner, keeping in mind, the geological, environmental, economic and practical aspects.         

As is well-known, some States are already facing water crisis, both in the urban centres and rural areas, while States like Assam face floods almost every year. Besides, the 11th Plan has aimed at expanding irrigation by 2.5 million hectares a year, and, recently at a meeting of the National Development Council (NDC), most States voiced the need for additional allocation for increasing their irrigated area. In such a scenario, there is need for judicious management of water and ensuring its optimum use throughout the country. How this could be made practicable, however, remains a big challenge?

The only way in which change will take place is if reform-minded political leaders shift the balance of power between the State machinery, on the one hand, and users -- farmers, industries, citizens – on the other. The State needs to surrender those tasks which it may not be fit to perform, while develop the capacity to do such things which it can and should do. Water management, let’s face it, is one of the several tasks, which only the State can discharge. A monitoring mechanism at the central level may be necessary or the Central Water Commission be given additional powers. However, collaboration and consultation with the States would be necessary.

The institutional changes in building the “new Indian water state” could well be: the public sector will continue to have an important role in providing irrigation and water supply; vibrant non-governmental sector, private sector and cooperatives will too be given a role in providing formal irrigation and water supply services in a competitive manner with the State authorities; as service provided by the above improves, large number of people will move from the informal, self providing, water economy onto the formal service sector and the public sector will play an expanded role in the financing and provision of public services such as flood control, pollution control, sewage treatment etc.

In addition, the government will deliver a set of laws, policies, capacities and organizations for defining and delivering an enabling environment with special emphasis on the establishment and management of water entitlements and the regulation of services and resources. A clean flowing river thus could be of immense benefit to the country and the States. ---INFA

 (Copyright, India News and Feature Alliance)

Uncork The Champagne…:UPA FIZZ JUST RAN DRY!, by Poonam I Kaushish,31 May 2008 Print E-mail

POLITICAL DIARY

New Delhi, 31 May 2008

Uncork The Champagne…

UPA FIZZ JUST RAN DRY!

By Poonam I Kaushish

Celebrations are normally great fun. Lots of masti, some khaana-peena and loads of mirch-masala gup-shup. A time to wipe the worries, dismiss the problems and rejoice in the vacuous rhetoric of a litany of achievements. Enjoy!

At the risk of sounding a party pooper, are you kidding? The festivity at the Prime Minister’s dinner said it all. Never mind the phony assurances served to the aam aadmi as the tastiest dish. The high point was the grand entry of dushman-turned- dost Samajwadi leader Amar Singh even though he came an hour late.

The relief on Manmohan Singh’s face was palpable as he scurried from his table to sit with his khaas invitee to the exclusion of all present. Forgotten in the euphoria was the irony that the 2004 gate-crasher at Sonia Gandhi’s dinner for the UPA allies had become the most–prized guest. Never mind that Sonia and Amar Singh did not exchange greetings.  Should we measure this as the UPA’s success or desperation?

Less said the better of the “there is no reason to party’ Left brigade who after much dilly-dallying attended the dinner because it didn’t want to loose its numero uno position of being the main benefactor of the Congress. It was worried that if it distanced itself now then other parties would occupy its prime place at Sonia’s high table.

Moreover, Messers Karat and Yechury could not stomach the fact that the Congress was seeking to replace it with the Samajwadi and other new allies. Which would put to rest its dreams of forming a grand Third Front. Thus, the back seat driving and tu-tu-mein-mein could resume later. Should we measure the souring of Congress-Left ties as success or failure?

What of the Grand Dame of Indian Politics. It was all dressed up with no invites of a promising future, no grooms and no swayambar. In the last four years it has lost 14 State Assembly elections out of 25. Since 2005, the only major wins for the Party have been in Haryana and Assam.

In 2007-08 it has lost critical states like Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh and, recently, Karnataka. Worse, there is no Congress rainbow in sight in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir and Mizoram which go to the polls later this year and the general elections next year.  Should we make merry that the Party is looking at the situation (read power) skidding out of its hands?

Given the Party’s penchant for dynasties, it has insulated its ruling Goddess Sonia-who-can-do-no-wrong and ‘yuvraj deity’ Rahul against any finger-pointing backlash. If the ground beneath the Congress is slipping fast, very fast in State after State, blame it on intra-party politics, backstabbing and fighting between senior leaders, stick-in-the-mud recalcitrant allies, the moon, sun, stars et al. But not Sonia-Rahul. No matter that everything from A to Z is decided by the undaata, her alone.

Should we celebrate the tragedy that the raison de atre for the Party’s defeat is because the Congress has tied its kundalini to Sonia’s stars and refuses to see what the asli stars foretell: time has cut the dynastic umbical cord?  Yesterday it was UP, today Karnataka, tomorrow Lok Sabha, who knows?

This not the only problem. The link between the Congress’s electoral underperformance and organisational disarray cannot be overstated. Karnataka is only the tip of iceberg where former Chief Minister Krishna made no bones that the blame for the Party’s defeat rests squarely on the “central leadership. My not contesting was a crucial mistake. I would have led from the front and the situation would have changed.” This was a "grave blunder," he added. Are we to rejoice that another senior leader has joined the Arjun Singh bandwagon of cribbers? Recall, the Union Human Resource Development Minister was the first to indirectly question Sonia’s style of functioning and coterie culture.

Things are no better in the Party unit in Madhya Pradesh. Union Ministers Kamal Nath and Jyotiraditya Scindia and former Chief Minister Digvijay Singh have to play second fiddle to handpicked ‘Sonia-stooge’ Suresh Pachouri, who hasn’t one electoral victory to his credit. In Chhattisharh, the Party is caught between the claims of warring Ajit Jogi and VC Shukla for the top slot. In Maharashtra governance has gone for a toss as the Chief Minister Vilasrao Deshmukh is busy keeping tabs on thorn-in-the-flesh leader Narayan Rane’s audiences with Sonia. What to speak of the near-complete decimation of its grassroots organisations in UP and Bihar.

Adding to its woes is the spiraling prices and rising inflation. Pulses, wheat, vegetables, tomatoes, potatoes, oil et al have become the bane of the aam aadmi. Bin bijli, bin jal, bin aloo (without power, without water and without potato). Whatever happened to the Congress ka haath aam aadmi ke saath!

Increasing unemployment, illiteracy, ill-health and suicides by farmers are the touchstone of the much-hyped and illusionary deal of roti, kapada aur makan. Look at the irony. Cellphones go abegging, yet people continue to beg for food. Do we measure success by the fact that the common man is being made to pay for the follies of the Government which waited much too long to read the signs of the agrarian crisis facing the country leading to spiraling prices?

Besides, the Congress defeat in Karnataka has not only rendered the Government lame duck but a domino effect has started surfacing in New Delhi. The UPA is branded as unpopular and the Congress a sinking ship. Already staunch ally RJD Chief Lalloo Yadav has castigated the Finance Minister for ‘giving short shrift’ to the aam aadmi and the plight of the farmers. He is reported to have said, “yeh GDP, FDP kya hai, aloo-pyaaz itna mehanga kyuin hai?” The other allies followed suit.

The Left has made up its mind to snap ties with the Grand Dame. But when and on what issue would be decided later. Till yesterday it was the nuclear deal today it has a plethora of issues: price rise, inflation and terrorism. Prakash Karat understands that the law of diminishing returns has set in and there are no political gains if they continue to support the Government. Do we cheer the curious political setting where the Left is confronting the UPA and also desperately looking for an exit route to re-establish its credibility? That too after enjoying power without responsibility.

Ironically, while all its allies have done their electoral calculations for the next round of elections, Sonia has yet to disclose her mind. Raising a moot point: Can such a Party hope to ride the crest of victory again? Sadly, as oft is the case, power breeds arrogance and absolute power breeds absolute arrogance. Ultimately, much will depend upon Sonia’s political will and priorities in the weeks and months ahead. If she can do no more than cleanse the stinking sycophancy cesspool and replace ‘I’ with ‘We’, the Congress could still stand a chance. Or else let the UPA fizz continue to run dry.  ------ INFA

(Copyright India News & Feature Alliance)

 

Of Terror & Vote-Banks:WHAT ABOUT THE NATION, MR PATIL?, by Poonam I Kaushish,24 May 2008 Print E-mail

POLITICAL DIARY

New Delhi, 24 May 2008

Of Terror & Vote-Banks

WHAT ABOUT THE NATION, MR PATIL?

By Poonam I Kaushish

Foot-in-the-mouth disease is known to afflict many politicians. Perhaps it has something to do with their inflated image of self importance, which makes them forget to put their brain in gear when engaging their mouth. Or perhaps, it has something to do with perfecting the art of doublespeak. On being caught, it’s promptly dismissed as a ‘misquote’. Either way, they as well as we know it is a whole lot of balderdash, a weak excuse to cover their backside.

This one simply takes the cake, in fact it is unforgivable: The country’s Union Home Minister Shivraj Patil has equated hardcore terrorist Afzal Guru’s pending death sentence with that of Sarabjit Singh languishing in Pakistan. “People are saying that don’t hang an Indian in Pakistan, Sarabjit, and then they are demanding hanging of Afzal Guru here...this is not fair,” said Patil.

Clearly, either the Home Minister is playing obtuse or he does not understand the fine distinction that his utterances spell doom. One, it could lose New Delhi the right to ask Islamabad’s pardon for Sarabjit on the ground of mistaken identity. Two, both the accused are Indians, so how can Pakistan claim the right to seek Afzal Guru’s pardon? No matter these Patil gems came at a time when his colleague Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee was negotiating for Sarabjit’s pardon and the Pakistani Prime Minister had advised his President to oblige.

Making matters worse, Patil suggested that Afzal Guru could not be hanged just because political parties were demanding so. “Just because I don’t shout or enter into a ‘tu tu main main’ with others doesn’t mean I am soft. I am doing my duty with commitment that is all that matters. We have to follow the law...a humanitarian view has to be considered,” (sic) he asserted. Really? What about showing remorse for the families of those who laid down their lives to defend Parliament. Or does minority appeasement and vote-bank politics override India’s unity and security?

Arguably, if Indira Gandhi’s killers can be hanged, why can’t a terrorist who attacked Parliament? Are we to believe that Afzal Guru is being let off the hook simply because of religious considerations? That the Government does not want to do anything which may even remotely hurt the Muslim sentiment. Or be misconstrued as ‘deliberately’ singling out a person who belongs to a minority community, specially with elections to many State Assemblies later this year. Terrorism or no terrorism. More so, ignoring the fact that the Muslim clergy too has condemned the terrorists for bringing a bad name to the community.

The tragedy of Patil-speak is that it has descended to the base level of a Government-Opposition war of words. The Congress tom-toms the BJP-led NDA Government’s Kandhar fiasco to counter the Saffron Sangh’s shrill ‘UPA soft-on-terrorist” verbal blasts.  A case of the pot calling the kettle black! So busy are they in scoring brownie points that in their collective wisdom all have fuzzed the larger picture. We are talking about deadly terror which has enveloped India in its octopus-like embrace. Over 270 of the 670 districts in the country are terror-prone. Of these, 70 districts have already been ravaged by terrorists. Terror has already cost us more than 72,000 civilians and 12,000 security personnel. In the last three years alone, Islamic terrorists have killed 5,617 people. Can we then compartmentalize terror on the basis of caste and creed for the sake of votes?

As oft happens, the discourse on terrorism gets bogged down in a parrot-like repeat of predictable standard State response, mostly soft and ritualistic --- of more of the same. Merely curing the symptoms, not the disease. The Prime Minister talks of a new federal agency, the Chief Justice of India for a new legal framework to tackle terrorism and the Opposition clamour’s for ‘tough’ anti-terror laws. All wallow in the false belief that terror is merely a mind game which can be won peacefully by merely waving the white flag.

Recall, the Prime Minister had talked of setting up a federal agency after the Hyderabad blasts in September last. Excellent idea as it would be unencumbered by State boundaries and political interference. But nothing came of it. Simply because our polity uses terror attacks to hit at their rivals. Worse, our netas think small. The federal agency would result in them losing their exclusive control over law and order, a State subject and the powers to exert political and extraneous influence.

Clearly, the time has come that our polity should shed its blinkered communal approach. If the battle against terror has to be won, political considerations, communal pressures, administrative and police lethargy and a weak legal-judicial regime will have to be negated. New Delhi must realize that normal deterrence doesn’t work against a faceless and fearless enemy.

The only way to strike back is to carry the fight into the enemy camp effectively. An eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth. Former Punjab Governor, the late Dharma Vira was ever so right when under a spell of President’s rule during the height of Sikh militancy in the State he directed: “I have no use for live terrorists!” Indeed, the Kandhar fiasco would never have happened if only the three hijackers had been eliminated and not jailed.

The need of the hour is more effective intelligence gathering and implementation of existing laws dealing with terrorist crimes. One way is community policing, which would ensure accurate intelligence information leading to credible investigation. Interestingly, a former Director of the Intelligence Bureau, Ajit Doval, has blasted as “a myth the widespread belief that the terrorists strike anywhere, at any time and any target.”

In his view, they strike where their intentions and capabilities meet the opportunities. Hence, the success of counter-terrorism lies in degrading their capabilities, forcing them to change their intentions and denying them opportunities to strike. New Delhi, he feels needs to think of ways to neutralise their fast-growing domestic base, availability of hardware and human resource, collaborative linkages with organized crime, gun runners, drug syndicates, hawala operators, subversive radical groups et al.

We also need to revamp our anti-terror laws. Top experts agree that laws such as the defunct POTA are required. True, Parliament was attacked when POTA was in operation. Nevertheless, it helped in speedily tackling cases of terrorism and bringing culprits like Afzal Guru to book. A POTA-like anti-terror law would send a strong signal that India is no longer soft.

What next? Much depends upon the Government’s willingness to acknowledge without any sugar-coating that India is ensnared in terror’s vicious grip. Already prolonged inaction has proved much too costly and Patil-speak has worsened it. The Centre must launch major offensives to drive home the message that India has no use for a live terrorist.  Self-serving decisions of minority appeasement may feed the polity’s vote-banks. Ultimately, it will only spell double disaster. Enough of self-invited terrorism. India’s freedom and unity is at stake. ----- INFA

(Copyright India News & Feature Alliance)

 

 

 

 

‘Republic of Nepal’:CELEBRATIONS IN TRANSIT STATE, by Dr. Monika Chansoria,3 June 2008 Print E-mail

Round The World

New Delhi, 3 June 2008

‘Republic of Nepal’

CELEBRATIONS IN TRANSIT STATE

By Dr. Monika Chansoria

(School of International Studies, JNU)

Nepal braced itself to be referred to as a Republic from 29 May onwards as opposed to being the ‘Kingdom of Nepal’ when it became the world’s newest Republic with a historic Assembly session abolishing its monarchy. It gave the ‘unpopular’ King Gyanendra a two-week notice to evict the pink pagoda-roofed Royal Narayanhiti Palace or ‘get ready to be forced out.’

The eviction order thereby ended 240 years of royal rule in Nepal. Subsequently, the Royal Standard flying atop the Narayanhiti Palace was brought down by officials. For decades together, the Nepalese population considered its monarch as an incarnation of the Hindu God of protection, Vishnu.

The decline of the Nepalese monarchy has been rather dramatic and the heavily one-sided vote to abolish the monarchy culminates the process of the closing stages of the centuries-old Hindu monarchy Kingdom.

The transition towards ‘a secular, federal, democratic, Republic nation’ was formalized with a resolution moved by the Home Minister KP Sitaula and passed immediately by 560 votes in favour and 4 against by a special session of the newly elected Constituent Assembly. By means of this motion, King Gyanendra and other members of the royal family have been reduced to common citizen’s status, thus loosing all cultural, administrative and political powers.

However, hours before the announcement, few suspected royalists threw three crude bombs in Kathmandu, leading to chaos and wounding one person. Meanwhile, thousands of Nepalese people gathered on the streets of the Capital in support of their ‘Republic Day’.

Thousands of Maoists, now referred to as former insurgents and new members of the Assembly’s biggest political party ever since joining the political mainstream, also rallied in Kathmandu carrying hammer and sickle flags and pumping their fists in the air as they shouted slogans against the monarchy.

Referring to Nepal becoming a Republic, Girija Prasad Koirala addressed the Assembly and stated, “Today is the day when my dreams have been realized and similarly the dreams of the nation have perhaps also been realized.”

“This is the people’s victory. With today’s declaration of a Republic we have achieved what we fought for,” were the sentiments of former Maoist guerrilla, Kamal Dahal.

Apparently the Maoists, who emerged as the largest party in last month’s elections, were committed to removing the monarchy right at the onset. They entered the political arena after signing a peace deal in 2006 that led to the end of a decade-long period of violent insurgency. Thereafter, King Gyanendra was stripped of all his powers and forced to end his reign of royal dictatorship and restore democracy after widespread protests all over the country two years ago.

The Communist Party of Nepal (Maoists) finally became the mainstream Nepalese political party with an unprecedented mandate with their leader Prachanda, declaring that he himself would lead the new Government of the ‘Republic of Nepal.’

Moreover, the people of Nepal too spoke candidly with their vote and crucially the election witnessed nearly 65 per cent of the nation’s voting population exercising their franchise and delivering a mandate in favour of the Maoist party.

In what could be considered a key development, even though the United States has not yet struck out the Maoists from its terrorist blacklist, Washington has since inverted its preceding policy of not negotiating with the group’s leaders.

The US Government still classifies the Maoist group as a terrorist organization, with US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Evan Feigenbaum asserting, “The degree to which the United States would work with the Maoists depends on how well they stayed away from violence.” Adding, that Washington was working with the Maoists to try to encourage a stable, democratic and peaceful country.

The victory of the Maoists that practically sealed the fate of the discredited monarchy in Kathmandu saw them winning 220 seats of the total 601, with expectations to head the new Government.

Conversely, political squabbles already seem to be taking precedence with Maoist Chairman Prachanda making a terse statement on 30 May stating, “Our Party deserves both the posts of President and Prime Minister. Losers cannot get these posts,” apparently referring to the Nepali Congress (NC) Party and the Communist Party of Nepal (UML) who lost in the Constituent Assembly elections.

Expectedly, leaders of both these parties have expressed concern over Prachanda’s remarks. The NC Vice-President and Minister for Peace and Reconstruction Ram Chandra Paudel termed this ‘undemocratic’. He further stressed, “Demanding both the President and Prime Minister posts is nothing but totalitarian tendency.”

The UML leader Bharat Mohan Adhikari too said their Party could not agree with this statement. “The President and Prime Minister should be from different parties, he asserted.”

Not only that. The power-sharing issue has upset the other parties as well including the Madhesi Janadhikar Forum and the Maoists themselves. Furthermore, all the four parties are in favour of electing the President through a simple majority of the Constituent Assembly members while the Maoists favour a majority of two-thirds.

Subsequently, in what could be judged as a crucial turn of events, Chairman Prachanda has threatened as recently as 2 June, to launch a massive agitation in the next few days if the mainstream parties in Nepal prevented the former rebels from leading a Government. “We will have no option but to launch a struggle if the crisis were not resolved soon,” Prachanda said in severe rhetoric at a rally of supporters in western Nepal.

It appears absolutely clear that the declaration of the Republic of Nepal is just the first step in the long journey of the country’s political future. Evidently, the ongoing political bickering is testament to the fact that fine-tuning among the Seven-Party Alliance and the Maoists may not be all velvety.

Significantly, although the Maoists are now in pre-eminence in the Government, they still remain laden with the baggage of essentially being a guerrilla group with several queries persisting about the new power structure in the new-fangled Nepalese Republic.

Therefore, the primary and foremost challenge confronting Kathmandu today is to translate the mandate of the Nepalese people into fine and effective governance and bring about peace, political stability and economic development to the Himalayan country.

Undoubtedly, Nepal’s tumultuous transition from a kingdom to a democracy does indeed come about as a welcome transformation for the Nepalese people but the celebrations could well be in transit given the potential reality that in the long run, ongoing political wrangling amidst the Seven-Party Alliance and the Maoists might just take precedence over governance. --- INFA

 (Copyright India News & Feature Alliance)

 

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